NFL Playoffs Game Of The Week Match Up Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts

The AFC East champions and number 2 seed of the conference, Buffalo Bills (13-3), face the number 7 seed and final AFC wildcard entry, Indianapolis Colts (11-5), in the first game of the playoffs this Saturday at 1:05 PM ET. Buffalo is heavily favored to come out victorious but how do these teams stack up statistically? The gap between the two is surprisingly not very wide when analyzing the data.

Team DVOA (Weighted DVOA in parentheses):

  • Bills: 4 (1)
  • Colts: 10 (9)

Offense (Weighted Offense in parentheses):

  • Bills: 5 (5) – Pass: 3, Rush: 22
  • Colts: 12 (10) – Pass: 16, Rush: 12

Defense (Weighted Defense in parentheses):

  • Bills: 12 (8) – Pass: 12, Rush: 17
  • Colts: 7 (10) – Pass: 8, Rush: 9

Special Teams (Weighted Special Teams in parentheses):

  • Bills: 4 (2)
  • Colts: 10 (15)

Quarterbacks:

Schedules:

Bills –

  • Jets – Win – 27-17, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 31 (Pass: 30, Rush: 26), Defense: 21 (Pass: 28, Rush: 8), Special Teams: 29
  • Dolphins – Win – 31-28, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 18 (Pass: 18, Rush: 23), Defense: 11 (Pass: 6, Rush: 22), Special Teams: 6
  • Rams – Win – 35-32, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 10 (Pass: 20, Rush: 4), Defense: 4 (Pass: 4, Rush: 3), Special Teams: 30
  • Raiders – Win – 30-23, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 14 (Pass: 9, Rush: 24), Defense: 28 (Pass: 26, Rush: 28), Special Teams: 13
  • Titans – Loss – 42-16, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 4 (Pass: 4, Rush: 2), Defense: 29 (Pass: 30, Rush: 16), Special Teams: 28
  • Chiefs – Loss – 26-17, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 2 (Pass: 2, Rush: 13), Defense: 22 (Pass: 16, Rush: 31), Special Teams: 17
  • Jets – Win – 18-10, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 31 (Pass: 30, Rush: 26), Defense: 21 (Pass: 28, Rush: 8), Special Teams: 29
  • Patriots – Win – 24-21, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 23 (Pass: 27, Rush: 8), Defense: 26 (Pass: 18, Rush: 32), Special Teams: 1
  • Seahawks – Win – 44-34, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 6 (Pass: 6, Rush: 9), Defense: 16 (Pass: 20, Rush: 7), Special Teams: 3
  • Cardinals – Loss – 32-30, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 19 (Pass: 14, Rush: 17), Defense: 10 (Pass: 9, Rush: 14), Special Teams: 19
  • Chargers – Win – 27-17, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 15 (Pass: 7, Rush: 31), Defense: 20 (Pass: 17, Rush: 26), Special Teams: 32
  • 49ers – Win – 34-24, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 19 (Pass: 22, Rush: 15), Defense: 6 (Pass: 7, Rush: 10), Special Teams: 23
  • Steelers – Win – 26-15, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 22 (Pass: 21, Rush: 30), Defense: 1 (Pass: 1, Rush: 5), Special Teams: 14
  • Broncos – Win – 48-19, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 30 (Pass: 31, Rush: 27), Defense: 13 (Pass: 11, Rush: 25), Special Teams: 23
  • Patriots – Win – 38-9, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 23 (Pass: 27, Rush: 8), Defense: 26 (Pass: 18, Rush: 32), Special Teams: 1
  • Dolphins – Win – 56-26, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 18 (Pass: 18, Rush: 23), Defense: 11 (Pass: 6, Rush: 22), Special Teams: 6

Last top 10 offense faced was Seahawks and the last top 10 defense faced was Steelers.

Colts –

  • Jaguars – Loss – 27-20, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 27 (Pass: 26, Rush: 19), Defense: 31 (Pass: 31, Rush: 24), Special Teams: 18
  • Vikings – Win – 28-11, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 8 (Pass: 11, Rush: 6), Defense: 18 (Pass: 14, Rush: 30), Special Teams: 31
  • Jets – Win – 36-7, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 31 (Pass: 30, Rush: 26), Defense: 21 (Pass: 28, Rush: 8), Special Teams: 29
  • Bears – Win – 19-11, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 25 (Pass: 23, Rush: 25), Defense: 8 (Pass: 13, Rush: 4), Special Teams: 8
  • Browns – Loss – 32-23, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 9 (Pass: 10, Rush: 7), Defense: 24 (Pass: 25, Rush: 19), Special Teams: 27
  • Bengals – Win – 31-27, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 29 (Pass: 25, Rush: 28), Defense: 27 (Pass: 27, Rush: 21), Special Teams: 8
  • Lions – Win – 41-21, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 16 (Pass: 15, Rush: 21), Defense: 32 (Pass: 32, Rush: 27), Special Teams: 11
  • Ravens – Loss – 24-10, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 11 (Pass: 17, Rush: 3), Defense: 9 (Pass: 10, Rush: 12), Special Teams: 2
  • Titans – Win – 34-17, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 4 (Pass: 4, Rush: 2), Defense: 29 (Pass: 30, Rush: 16), Special Teams: 28
  • Packers – Win – 34-31, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 1 (Pass: 1, Rush: 5), Defense: 17 (Pass: 15, Rush: 18), Special Teams: 25
  • Titans – Loss – 45-26, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 4 (Pass: 4, Rush: 2), Defense: 29 (Pass: 30, Rush: 16), Special Teams: 28
  • Texans – Win – 26-20, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 13 (Pass: 8, Rush: 32), Defense: 30 (Pass: 29, Rush: 29), Special Teams: 20
  • Raiders – Win – 44-27, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 14 (Pass: 9, Rush: 24), Defense: 28 (Pass: 26, Rush: 28), Special Teams: 13
  • Texans – Win – 27-20, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 13 (Pass: 8, Rush: 32), Defense: 30 (Pass: 29, Rush: 29), Special Teams: 20
  • Steelers – Loss – 28-24, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 22 (Pass: 21, Rush: 30), Defense: 1 (Pass: 1, Rush: 5), Special Teams: 14
  • Jaguars – Win – 28-14, Opponent Unit Ranks – Offense: 27 (Pass: 26, Rush: 19), Defense: 31 (Pass: 31, Rush: 24), Special Teams: 18

Last top 10 offense faced was Titans and the last top 10 defense faced was Steelers.

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